Insights

TrendMacro's 2020 Election Model

TrendMacro's proprietary quantitative presidential election model predicts that Trump will be re-elected by a margin of 294 electoral college votes, assuming economic conditions are the same in November 2020 as they are today. (TrendMacro is apolitical and non-partisan.)

Insights tagged: PGM

The Palladium Play - Part 2

Palladium has been a standout performer, more than doubling in price in three years 2016 to 2018. YTD the white-hot metal is up more than 10% as of January 16, 2019. Palladium’s rise is best understood by analyzing its unique supply-demand dynamics. Russia and South Africa account for nearly 80% of the world's production, and a chronic supply deficit keeps pushing prices higher. 

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The Palladium Play - Part 1

Palladium is a key component for ICE autocatalysts. While the escalating U.S.-China trade war hurt many commodities in 2018, palladium continued to rise. Spot palladium gained 18.6% in 2018 and has climbed 124% since the beginning of 2016.

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The Platinum Opportunity - Part 2

Platinum is one of the rarest of metals but often flies under the radar. In Part 2, we look at platinum supply-demand dynamics and explain why we believe that Platinum is too cheap to ignore

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The Platinum Opportunity - Part 1

Platinum is one of the rarest of metals but often flies under the radar. In Part 1, we provide a Platinum Primer and explain why we are bullish on this essential metal, which plays a critical role in the automotive, industrial and jewelry sectors. 

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